1BTCis1BTC

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $46.05
Potential payout: $92.11K
Potential profit: $92.06K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$46.05

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.6%
Current value: $70.65
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $229.35
Multiplier: 4.25x
User PnL: -$79.35

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $229.35
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $70.65
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $79.35

Yes position

Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by June 30?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $4.42
Potential payout: $260.01
Potential profit: $255.59
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: -$7.06

Yes position

Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by June 30?

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $4.19
Potential payout: $239.66
Potential profit: $235.47
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $145B by June 30?

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $6.57
Potential payout: $205.43
Potential profit: $198.86
Multiplier: 31.25x
User PnL: -$7.22

Yes position

Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.42
Potential payout: $202.32
Potential profit: $200.91
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$0.77

Yes position

Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by June 30?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $7.22
Potential payout: $160.39
Potential profit: $153.17
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$7.01

Yes position

Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $138.75
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by June 30?

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $7.48
Potential payout: $149.58
Potential profit: $142.1
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $32.5B by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $119.62
Potential profit: $119.32
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.18

Yes position

Glean IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $14.86
Potential payout: $90.05
Potential profit: $75.19
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $140B by June 30?

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $3.35
Potential payout: $83.83
Potential profit: $80.48
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$1.94

Yes position

Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $135B by June 30?

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $1.45
Potential payout: $80.3
Potential profit: $78.86
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by June 30?

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $72.23
Potential profit: $70.93
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $42.5B by June 30?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $9.02
Potential payout: $62.22
Potential profit: $53.19
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$9.81

Yes position

Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by June 30?

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $54.81
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by June 30?

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $1.21
Potential payout: $53.62
Potential profit: $52.41
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $7B by June 30?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $3.98
Potential payout: $53.01
Potential profit: $49.03
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$2.08

Yes position

Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $210B by June 30?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $49.72
Potential profit: $48.97
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by June 30?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $3.38
Potential payout: $45.02
Potential profit: $41.64
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$2.18

Yes position

Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by June 30?

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $0.82
Potential payout: $42.15
Potential profit: $41.33
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by June 30?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.84
Potential payout: $34.33
Potential profit: $33.49
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by June 30?

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $30.44
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: -$0.19

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $69.57

Yes position

Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $50.55

Yes position

Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $49.98

Yes position

Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $48.78

Yes position

Will Trần Thanh Mẫn be the next President of Vietnam?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $44.95

No position

Celonis IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $35.84

Yes position

Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $35.79

Yes position

Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $29.25

Yes position

Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $27.45

Yes position

Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $25.57

Yes position

Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $24.91

Yes position

Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $24.87

Yes position

Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.53

Yes position

Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $23.43

Yes position

Will Lương Cường be the next President of Vietnam?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.02

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.58

Yes position

Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $14.67

Yes position

Will Trần Cẩm Tú be the next President of Vietnam?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.24

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.73

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?