No position
Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?
Ends Sep 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $30.96
- Potential payout
- $258
- Potential profit
- $227.04
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$15.48
Polymarket Trader
Xxb0083
0xc77c4289edbd833cb792419e12ab3ee531650d02
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $30.96
- Realized PnL
- $99
- Win rate
- 16.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $139.15
Yes position
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $2.16
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 16, 2026?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.46
No position
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 83%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
No position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Yes position
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 26.6%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$1.7
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.88
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.34
Yes position
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$3.34
Yes position
Will Trump post "Stupid" this week on Truth Social?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$7.03
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$7.65
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes 71% 32 shares
- Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes 76.7% 60 shares
- Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?Yes 72.1% 238.32 shares
- Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?Yes 72% 7.68 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?No 51.2% 104 shares
- Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes 61% 51 shares
- Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 75% 208 shares
- Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 59.1% 21 shares
- Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes 34.4% 20 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?Yes 14.5% 143.5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 39% 200 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 97.7% 14 shares