No position
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 20-26?
Ends May 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $208.2K
- Potential profit
- $208.2K
- User PnL
- -$122.96K
Polymarket Trader
Alphax
@AlphaxonP
0xc781e8dd03946230f2f32ab36077998bcb4a59d7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $43.24K
- Realized PnL
- $86.75K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel military action against Iran by Friday?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.69K
- Potential profit
- $51.69K
- User PnL
- -$41.65K
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $36.67K
- Potential payout
- $37.17K
- Potential profit
- $501.81
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $351.53
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $5.32K
- Potential payout
- $7.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.87K
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $660.2
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $7K
- User PnL
- -$6.61K
No position
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $491.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $71.5
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $355.04
- Potential payout
- $361.55
- Potential profit
- $6.51
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $37.18
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $58.07
- Potential payout
- $247.1
- Potential profit
- $189.03
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$98.17
Yes position
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $73.98
- Potential payout
- $205.51
- Potential profit
- $131.53
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- -$58.94
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $195.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $4.5
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.3
No position
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58
- Potential profit
- $58
- User PnL
- -$22.68
No position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $32.26
- Potential payout
- $32.92
- Potential profit
- $0.66
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Denmark 0 - 0 Ukraine?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.56
- Potential profit
- $26.56
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Y
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $18.4
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $1.6
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $13.56
- Potential payout
- $15.07
- Potential profit
- $1.51
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $1.36
Yes position
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $4.12
- Potential payout
- $12.86
- Potential profit
- $8.74
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$6.04
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $3.89
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $6.1
- Multiplier
- 2.57x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $1.03
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.21K
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.15K
Yes position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.93K
No position
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.68K
No position
Another US military action against Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.17K
Yes position
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.64K
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 4-10?
Ends Feb 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17K
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.16K
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09K
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $3.07K
Yes position
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.07K
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3K
No position
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96K
Yes position
Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55K
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $2.49K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47K
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.41K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23K
Yes position
Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin March 18-24?
Ends Mar 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2K
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07K
Yes position
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97K
Yes position
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85K
Yes position
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 99.7% 2,000 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 98.7% 6.5 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 98.7% 3,466.85 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 98.4% 1,779.28 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 61% 324.67 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 72% 5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 39% 500 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 88% 323.5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 64% 5 shares
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 79% 12.86 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 59% 310 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Yes 90% 108.68 shares