No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $6.74K
- Potential payout
- $7.1K
- Potential profit
- $358.59
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $312.23
Polymarket Trader
aauchter
0xc78fc095b2c635383778e7a6d84b47a56c3572d6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.02K
- Realized PnL
- $59.68
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $2.18K
- Potential payout
- $2.41K
- Potential profit
- $228.92
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $180.73
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $2.07K
- Potential payout
- $2.08K
- Potential profit
- $13.54
- User PnL
- $69.79
Yes position
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $997.15
- Potential profit
- $997.15
- User PnL
- -$186.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$5
Ozzy Diaz position
UFC 328: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Prelims)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $20.5
- Potential payout
- $36.97
- Potential profit
- $16.47
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $10.5
Joaquin Buckley position
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$7
Lakers position
Thunder vs. Lakers
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $28.57
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.47
- Potential profit
- $27.47
- User PnL
- -$10
Jeremy Stephens position
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $22.73
- User PnL
- -$5
Tatsuro Taira position
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.39
- Potential profit
- $16.39
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $2.15
- Potential payout
- $11.63
- Potential profit
- $9.48
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $0.15
San Francisco Giants position
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.64
- Potential profit
- $10.64
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.42
- Potential profit
- $10.42
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $0.51
- Potential payout
- $9.3
- Potential profit
- $8.79
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$3.49
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Sean Strickland position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36
Sean Brady position
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.84
Alexander Volkov position
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.54
Khamzat Chimaev position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 92% 2,717.39 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 91% 274.73 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 91% 1,208.79 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 96% 2,083.33 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 89% 89.89 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 89% 2,810.01 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Yes 43% 9.3 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 36.4% 27.47 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETUp 8% 62.5 shares
- UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)Khamzat Chimaev 83% 20.83 shares
- UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)Khamzat Chimaev 48% 20.83 shares
- UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)Sean Strickland 56% 100 shares