Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.69K
- Potential profit
- $22.69K
- User PnL
- -$299.97
Polymarket Trader
batonragee
0xc78fe3d4ddba6ee7c301e3c86d01902cac5e07ee
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $239.28
- Realized PnL
- $1.11K
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.22
- Potential payout
- $434
- Potential profit
- $433.79
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$162.29
No position
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $239.07
- Potential payout
- $312.51
- Potential profit
- $73.44
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $14.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $692.08
Yes position
Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242.31
Yes position
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80
Yes position
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?
Ends Aug 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.34
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?
Ends Aug 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.32
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% or less in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.14
Yes position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.79
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.17
No position
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?
Ends Aug 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.81
Yes position
Astronomer Divorce Parlay
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.06
No position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?
Ends Aug 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.39
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100k in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94
Yes position
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.86
Yes position
Will Keith Kellogg be next National Security Advisor?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
Will Fred Fleitz be next National Security Advisor?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
Will Steve Witkoff be next National Security Advisor?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Thursday?
Ends Aug 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Robert O'Brien be next National Security Advisor?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Yes 9% 111.11 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 5,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.4% 5,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.4% 2,500 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Yes 33.9% 147.66 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 1.2% 8,333.33 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 1.3% 3,846.15 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.7% 1,428.57 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.7% 1,428.57 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 65% 153.85 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 65.4% 233.38 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 70.5% 77.79 shares