Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $4.72
- Potential payout
- $104.99
- Potential profit
- $100.27
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$28.12
Polymarket Trader
fightingformoney
@findtel
0xc798d99d5b995131a7eb85ee8a673d5be6a8b655
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $73.13
- Realized PnL
- $259.56
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $38.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $11.5
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.6
- Potential profit
- $38.6
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $27.15
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $2.85
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3.75
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $1.7
- Potential payout
- $10.99
- Potential profit
- $9.29
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.95
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.04
Yes position
Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.1
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.53
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.59
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.36
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 78.4% 40 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 84% 40 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 12% 10.99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 9.4% 100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 55% 14.99 shares
- Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?Yes 13% 10 shares
- Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?Yes 12% 10 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 29% 20 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 16% 10 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 17% 10 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 17% 10 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 17% 10 shares