No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $192.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $7.1
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.7
Polymarket Trader
jiusaner
0xc79bc8f89492a71da89cbaeae64f864bd7060c3d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $197.89
- Realized PnL
- -$724.69
- Win rate
- 86.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $4.99
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$47.99
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$682.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?No 90% 5 shares
- Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?No 76% 5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 99.5% 5 shares
- U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?No 99.9% 5 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?No 99.3% 5 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?No 73% 5 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?No 82% 5 shares
- Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?No 96% 5 shares
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?Yes 99.2% 5 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?No 99.5% 5 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 98.6% 5 shares