Polymarket Trader

valar999

0xc7a70843637ad15e4ff631e9a541c437464d42b8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.16K
Realized PnL: $3.39K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $4.99K
Potential payout: $5.48K
Potential profit: $493.4
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $70

No position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $2.04K
Potential payout: $2.11K
Potential profit: $66.46
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$13.71

Yes position

Russia coup attempt in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $125
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $875
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $35

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $588.81

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $115K and $117K on August 8?

Ends Aug 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $571.49

No position

Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $519.58

No position

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $364.04

No position

Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.52

No position

Interstellar object confirmed aliens?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.05

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.32

No position

Will the AFD be part of the next German government?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.11

No position

Will there be another debate?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.68

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $3.96

No position

Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.06

Yes position

Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

No position

Yoon arrested by Friday?

Ends Jan 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32

No position

Crimean bridge hit before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

No position

Belarus x Ukraine military clash by Sep 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.66

No position

Will Belarus invade Ukraine before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Ukraine election scheduled in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend presidential inauguration?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?

No 93% 1,773 shares
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?

No 88% 2,215.04 shares
Russia coup attempt in 2026?

Yes 9% 1,000 shares
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 32% 2,500 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 80.5% 2,272.8 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

No 86% 2,324.42 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

No 91% 2,926.49 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy Edition

Yes 97% 2,746.15 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy Edition

Yes 97.2% 2,746.15 shares
Interstellar object confirmed aliens?

No 98.5% 2,710.82 shares
Interstellar object confirmed aliens?

No 97.4% 2,710.82 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?

Yes 29.2% 68.09 shares