Polymarket Trader

GAROU

0xc7bc371f347d77ee915699114735f6e1a70cce3b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.18K
Realized PnL: $436.54
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $68.75
Potential payout: $12.5K
Potential profit: $12.43K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$31.25

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $38.89
Potential payout: $11.11K
Potential profit: $11.07K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$61.1

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $155.88
Potential payout: $5.88K
Potential profit: $5.73K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $55.89

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $147.14
Potential payout: $2.86K
Potential profit: $2.71K
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: $47.15

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $65.33
Potential payout: $2.67K
Potential profit: $2.6K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $25.34

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $31.56
Potential payout: $548.84
Potential profit: $517.28
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$16.44

No position

Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $108.41
Potential payout: $328.51
Potential profit: $220.1
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $18.41

No position

Cap FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $324.61
Potential profit: $324.61
User PnL: -$100

No position

Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $101.89
Potential payout: $279.15
Potential profit: $177.26
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $51.89

Yes position

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $65.1
Potential payout: $277
Potential profit: $211.91
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$1.11

No position

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $159
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $41
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $121

Yes position

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $16.55
Potential payout: $165.52
Potential profit: $148.97
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$7.53

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $149.7
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$29.7

Yes position

Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 23.2%
Current value: $28.58
Potential payout: $123.46
Potential profit: $94.88
Multiplier: 4.32x
User PnL: $8.58

Yes position

Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $57.02
Potential payout: $112.9
Potential profit: $55.89
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $22.02

Yes position

Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $36.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $63.5
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $14.5

No position

Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $33.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $66.5
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $3.5

No position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $34.35
Potential payout: $96.77
Potential profit: $62.42
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $4.35

No position

Dreamcash FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $35.62
Potential payout: $79.16
Potential profit: $43.54
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: $7.62

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $386.62

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 4°C on December 25?

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.7

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 28-29°F on January 3?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 44°F or higher on December 23?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 1°C on January 3?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on March 8?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Yes position

Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 2?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 28-29°F on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on January 6?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia by September 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26

No position

Will Drake release an album by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21

No position

Will Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

No position

Another Israel strike on Yemen by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

No position

Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16

No position

Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?

Ends Sep 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09

No position

Will Russia capture Stepanivka by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on December 25?

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or higher on December 23?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?

Ends Aug 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

Yes position

Thailand strikes Cambodia by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.91

Yes position

Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by August 10?

Ends Aug 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.84

No position

Will Drake's "Which One" debut at #1 in its first week?

Ends Aug 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.84

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026

Yes 24% 250 shares
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026

Yes 23% 27 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

No 31% 96.77 shares
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

No 3.9% 329.99 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.7% 1,500 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.7% 12,000 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.7% 857.14 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.7% 10,000 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.6% 3,333.33 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.6% 6,666.67 shares
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

No 15% 30 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 14.6% 261.85 shares