Polymarket Trader

MelissaCraig1098

0xc7c2e819892c77a9a19ebf8a2f9efd17ae1bfcbe

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.58K
Realized PnL: $2.33K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $886
Potential payout: $886
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $171

Yes position

Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $115.5
Potential payout: $825
Potential profit: $709.5
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$495.83

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks position

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$61.2

Under position

New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 4.5

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $249.9
Potential payout: $420
Potential profit: $170.1
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$94.5

No position

Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $261
Potential profit: $261
User PnL: -$34.19

Up position

XRP Up or Down - February 12, 11PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $247
Potential profit: $247
User PnL: -$123.5

Yes position

Cerebras IPO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $205
Potential profit: $205
User PnL: -$2.26

No position

Will Robert White Jr. win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $193
Potential payout: $193
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $5.79

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 1, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $154
Potential profit: $154
User PnL: -$40.04

Yes position

Will Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153
Potential profit: $153
User PnL: -$29.07

No position

Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135
Potential profit: $135
User PnL: -$112.05

Yes position

Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95
Potential profit: $95
User PnL: -$1.14

No position

Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $74
Potential payout: $74
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $18.5

No position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $51
Potential payout: $51
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $18.36

No position

Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26
Potential profit: $26
User PnL: -$9.62

Yes position

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $6.63
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $18.38
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$4.38

Yes position

Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $17
User PnL: -$2.72

Yes position

Trump executive order ending NASA in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $7
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Cramer say "Bitcoin" 4+ times during TBPN on December 4?

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$2.76

Yes position

U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $2.45
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$1.45

Yes position

Will Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $2
User PnL: -$0.24

No position

Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $1.51
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $0.49
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Will Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $2
User PnL: -$0.24

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will "Zelenskyy" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $628.78

Yes position

Will "Epstein" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $574.78

Yes position

Will Ethena dip to $0.08 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $270.25

Yes position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.16

Under position

Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.47

Yes position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.28

No position

Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 92%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $58.49

No position

Will Trump say "Anniversary" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.12

Yes position

Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.35 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.16

No position

Will Medline's market cap be between $55B and $65B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.6

Yes position

Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38

No position

Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.7

Lamar Cardinals position

East Texas A&M Lions vs. Lamar Cardinals

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.38

No position

Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.72

Yes position

Will "Cocaine" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (February 22)

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.6

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.58

Yes position

No one announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.44

Yes position

Will Tisza win 110–119 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.68

Yes position

Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.06

No position

Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.06

Israel position

Will US or Israel strike Iran first?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $16.04

Yes position

Will Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.14

No position

Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.18

Yes position

Will Chloé Zhao be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.31

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 62% 969 shares
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 27% 699 shares
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?

No 99.7% 128 shares
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?

No 99.7% 656 shares
Will Iran strike Ghawar Field by April 30?

Yes 15% 23 shares
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 29% 561 shares
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?

No 91% 681 shares
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?

No 91% 100 shares
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 25% 138 shares
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?

No 64% 1,616 shares
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 64% 969 shares
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026?

No 77% 429 shares