Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $434.85
- Potential payout
- $5.12K
- Potential profit
- $4.68K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$254.53
Polymarket Trader
0xC7d0B9CCBEF5dFa9C2A22F15456B631df0579B59-1765046493438
0xc7d0b9ccbef5dfa9c2a22f15456b631df0579b59
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $435.69
- Realized PnL
- $392.62
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.77K
- Potential profit
- $1.77K
- User PnL
- -$88.69
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $554.72
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.71
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $98.63
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.08
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.28
Yes position
Will Elon Musk's net worth be at least $670b on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.32
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- $18.18
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.72
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- $12.5
Yes position
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Multiplier
- 30.30x
- User PnL
- $5.29
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.19
Yes position
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $630b and $640b on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 5?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 6?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 4?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released on February 27, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released on February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 7?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released on February 25, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 14% 300 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 17% 1,991.94 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes 2.9% 172.41 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes 4.4% 113.64 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Yes 0.9% 111.11 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released on February 28, 2026?Yes 1.9% 52.63 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released on February 27, 2026?Yes 0.5% 197.88 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released on February 25, 2026?Yes 0.6% 171.91 shares
- Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Yes 26% 16.94 shares
- Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?Yes 5% 200 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on February 7?Yes 3.5% 57.14 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on February 7?Yes 1% 396.39 shares