Yes position
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $781.25
- Potential payout
- $312.5K
- Potential profit
- $311.72K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$718.44
Polymarket Trader
LiquidatedDegen
@liquidatedxxx
0xc7e53ac4a7c76d6df8b794de2e7d0794265d2d3a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $47.32K
- Realized PnL
- $255.04K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $62.5
- Potential payout
- $125K
- Potential profit
- $124.94K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$187.5
Yes position
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $687.5
- Potential payout
- $125K
- Potential profit
- $124.31K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $187.5
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $2.25K
- Potential payout
- $99.98K
- Potential profit
- $97.73K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $780.35
Yes position
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $291.67
- Potential payout
- $83.33K
- Potential profit
- $83.04K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $41.75
Yes position
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.15K
- Potential profit
- $76.15K
- User PnL
- -$6.09K
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.51K
- Potential profit
- $58.51K
- User PnL
- -$4.98K
Yes position
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $1.46K
- Potential payout
- $50.22K
- Potential profit
- $48.76K
- Multiplier
- 34.48x
- User PnL
- $440.13
Yes position
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $1.56K
- Potential payout
- $40.96K
- Potential profit
- $39.4K
- Multiplier
- 26.32x
- User PnL
- -$258.62
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $35.06K
- Potential payout
- $40.07K
- Potential profit
- $5.01K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $9.44K
Yes position
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $699.79
- Potential payout
- $39.99K
- Potential profit
- $39.29K
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$715.47
Yes position
Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.59K
- Potential profit
- $32.59K
- User PnL
- -$521.42
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $458.33
- Potential payout
- $27.78K
- Potential profit
- $27.32K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$41.64
No position
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.18K
- Potential profit
- $27.18K
- User PnL
- -$2.17K
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 10.2%
- Current value
- $2.68K
- Potential payout
- $26.28K
- Potential profit
- $23.6K
- Multiplier
- 9.81x
- User PnL
- $397.77
No position
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.22K
- Potential profit
- $23.22K
- User PnL
- -$1.66K
Alabama position
Alabama vs. Indiana
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.06K
- Potential profit
- $21.06K
- User PnL
- -$4.35K
Yes position
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $156.12
- Potential payout
- $20.82K
- Potential profit
- $20.66K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $10.41
Yes position
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.5K
- Potential profit
- $20.5K
- User PnL
- -$2.46K
Yes position
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.15K
- Potential profit
- $20.15K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $630
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $19.37K
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Will BLɅϽKPIИK release an album by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67K
- Potential profit
- $16.67K
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.53K
- Potential profit
- $15.53K
- User PnL
- -$3.93K
Yes position
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $550.41
- Potential payout
- $15.08K
- Potential profit
- $14.53K
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- $82.74
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.26K
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.08K
No position
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.32K
Ole Miss position
Ole Miss vs. Georgia
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.57K
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.5K
Yes position
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-20?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.03K
Yes position
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-10-25?
Ends Oct 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.82K
No position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.61K
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.18K
No position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.2K
No position
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.18K
No position
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5K
Yes position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.36K
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.26K
Texas A&M Aggies position
Texas A&M Aggies vs. LSU Tigers
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.85K
Sharks position
Sharks vs. Kings
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.52K
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.02K
UNLV Runnin Rebels position
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Boise State Broncos
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.73K
Yes position
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.59K
Yes position
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-10-26?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35K
Patriots position
Patriots vs. Ravens
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.29K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2K
Yes position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.19K
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $2.89K
West Virginia Mountaineers position
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Cincinnati Bearcats
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73K
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7K
The Citadel Bulldogs position
The Citadel Bulldogs vs. Chattanooga Mocs
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.64K
Wisconsin Badgers position
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44K
Yes position
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.41K
Utah Tech Trailblazers position
Utah Valley Wolverines vs. Utah Tech Trailblazers
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37K
Yes position
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-10-29?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37K
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown last 48 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29K
Red Wings position
Blues vs. Red Wings
Ends Oct 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28K
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.1%
- Multiplier
- 4.15x
- User PnL
- $2.28K
Texas Tech Red Raiders position
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona Wildcats
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $2.21K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17K
Philadelphia Phillies position
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1K
Martin Landaluce position
Miami Open: Sebastian Korda vs Martin Landaluce
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09K
Ducks position
Ducks vs. Flames
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08K
Yes position
Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07K
Hawks position
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04K
Celtics position
Thunder vs. Celtics
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03K
Missouri Tigers position
Missouri Tigers vs. Texas A&M Aggies
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03K
Kansas City Royals position
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02K
Yes position
Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02K
Bears position
Packers vs. Bears
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01K
Penguins position
Blues vs. Penguins
Ends Oct 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2K
Colorado Rockies position
Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98K
Nathaniel Wood position
UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee BrewersCleveland Guardians 47% 265.96 shares
- Chicago White Sox vs. New York YankeesChicago White Sox 38% 328.95 shares
- San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis CardinalsSan Diego Padres 46% 271.74 shares
- Detroit Tigers vs. Houston AstrosDetroit Tigers 50% 250 shares
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia PhilliesMiami Marlins 48% 260.42 shares
- Kansas City Royals vs. Washington NationalsWashington Nationals 56% 223.21 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Yes 23.1% 9,571.71 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 16.6% 3,572.19 shares
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Flame Team (BO3) - European Pro League Group BFlame Team 24% 62.19 shares
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Flame Team (BO3) - European Pro League Group BFlame Team 24% 60 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.6% 31,574.22 shares
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Portugal 54% 370.37 shares