No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $99.85
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- User PnL
- $24.85
Polymarket Trader
0xC7F81c7cA09dDf3866f69FeB4FF62bdd89e26e45-1772279218446
0xc7f81c7ca09ddf3866f69feb4ff62bdd89e26e45
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $99.85
- Realized PnL
- $19.42
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.33
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.95
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $10.53
No position
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.2
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.69
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.31
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.77
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.33
Down position
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.72
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$41.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 40.4% 60 shares
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes 94.2% 106.04 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?No 96% 107.61 shares
- Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 9?Down 1.5% 690.05 shares
- Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 9?Down 2.3% 429.55 shares
- Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 9?Down 3.8% 260.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETUp 27.2% 241.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETUp 18% 204.66 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETUp 27% 36.68 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETUp 29.7% 33.31 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETUp 39% 29.93 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETUp 33% 29.94 shares