No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $1.79K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $210
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
leur0p
@LeuropCrypto
0xc80ffc66a00a1a688f68e588b32487cb573e93c8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.62K
- Realized PnL
- $6.2K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.52K
- Potential profit
- $1.52K
- User PnL
- -$718.21
No position
Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$2.01
N
No position
Will G2 Esports Win an International Event in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $160.5
- Potential payout
- $321
- Potential profit
- $160.5
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $101.52
No position
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $244.47
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $55.53
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $1.47
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $272.72
- Potential profit
- $272.72
- User PnL
- -$4.91
No position
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $197.4
- Potential payout
- $210
- Potential profit
- $12.6
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $44.1
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $200.01
- User PnL
- -$82
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $139.16
- Potential profit
- $139.16
- User PnL
- -$2.14
No position
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $93.25
- Potential payout
- $109.06
- Potential profit
- $15.81
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $1.64
No position
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $108.73
- Potential profit
- $108.73
- User PnL
- -$50.73
N
No position
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$42
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $88.33
- Potential payout
- $96.54
- Potential profit
- $8.21
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $24.62
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.01
- Potential profit
- $50.01
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Kiwoom DRX position
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$3.8
GIANTX position
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winner
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Relay FDV above $900M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $41.88
- Potential payout
- $44.29
- Potential profit
- $2.41
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $12.64
Yes position
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.99
- Potential profit
- $39.99
- User PnL
- -$19.6
Under position
CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$17.7
Over position
France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$9.9
Manchester City Esports position
Rocket League: Manchester City Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO7) - RLCS Major Paris Playoffs
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $24
- User PnL
- -$3.36
Yes position
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$11.8
Movistar KOI Fénix position
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 3 Winner
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$12.4
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.98
- Potential profit
- $10.98
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $855.6
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $576.75
No position
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $526.22
No position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $363.86
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $314.21
No position
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $286.31
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $252.94
No position
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $251
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242.48
No position
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $232.75
No position
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.51
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.76
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $185.98
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.14
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.09
No position
Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $179.95
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.02
No position
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.72
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.08
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $149.32
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.22
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $140.98
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $131.77
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to AdvanceBosnia and Herzegovina 21% 40 shares
- Will G2 Esports Win an International Event in 2026?No 18.4% 321 shares
- Mexico leading at halftime?Yes 33% 22 shares
- France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5Over 33% 30 shares
- Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?No 0.5% 1,000 shares
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5Under 95% 97.33 shares
- LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerT1 48% 20 shares
- Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)T1 62% 5.12 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?No 14% 18.83 shares
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score AND New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5 AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?50.8% 19.39 shares
- Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 6.5Under 90.1% 50 shares
- Türkiye vs. United States: Both Teams to Score AND Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 6.5 AND Will United States win on 2026-06-25?27% 36.22 shares