Polymarket Trader

reizo

@goandstay108

0xc81c1df1f183e1b137119e590e9d7b64e805e454

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.58K
Realized PnL: $6.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $16.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.98K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16.1%
Current value: $386.31
Potential payout: $2.41K
Potential profit: $2.02K
Multiplier: 6.23x
User PnL: -$31.01

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.6%
Current value: $438.48
Potential payout: $1.86K
Potential profit: $1.42K
Multiplier: 4.25x
User PnL: -$221.51

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $557.78
Potential payout: $970.04
Potential profit: $412.27
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$147.62

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $56.87
Potential payout: $939.98
Potential profit: $883.11
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: $16.74

No position

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $725.55
Potential payout: $879.99
Potential profit: $154.44
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $53.98

Yes position

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $77.65
Potential payout: $739.56
Potential profit: $661.91
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $3.17

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $15.93
Potential payout: $650
Potential profit: $634.08
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $353.18
Potential payout: $636.36
Potential profit: $283.18
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$96.64

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$299.4

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $181.83
Potential payout: $391.03
Potential profit: $209.2
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $4.38

Yes position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $2.72
Potential payout: $320
Potential profit: $317.28
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$3.82

No position

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $237.76
Potential payout: $271.73
Potential profit: $33.97
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $20.21

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $152.85
Potential payout: $261.28
Potential profit: $108.43
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$30.21

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $19
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $180.99
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$23

Yes position

Will Bill Hagerty be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?

Ends Aug 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $179.37
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$2.79

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $143.57
Potential payout: $168.9
Potential profit: $25.34
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $2.37

Yes position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $100.36
Potential payout: $130.34
Potential profit: $29.98
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $10.72

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 59%
Current value: $68.98
Potential payout: $116.91
Potential profit: $47.93
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $6.86

Yes position

Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $2.14
Potential payout: $109.99
Potential profit: $107.85
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $37
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $63
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $846.8

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $565.97

Yes position

Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $559.54

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $517.51

No position

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $374.36

Yes position

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $280.25

Yes position

Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.36

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $248.01

Yes position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.38

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.89

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $195.28

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191

Yes position

Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190.89

Yes position

US government shutdown by October 1?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.95

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.9

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.89

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.22

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.51

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153

Yes position

Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.55

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.08

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.37

Yes position

Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.37

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?

Yes 95.8% 131.9 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 45.4% 391.03 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?

Yes 92% 31.9 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Yes 63% 410 shares
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 11% 100 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.6% 300 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No 99.2% 500 shares
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?

No 98.5% 452.69 shares
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?

No 73.4% 48.16 shares
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?

No 61% 40 shares
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

Yes 46% 40 shares
Will SpaceX have the highest private market valuation on June 30?

Yes 96.4% 16.37 shares