Polymarket Trader

grglu

0xc823005e4384c590e9bdbb2e62851b69ee9f9ec7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $73.84
Realized PnL: $11.6
Win rate: 55%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.17K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $27.81
Potential payout: $611.11
Potential profit: $583.31
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$32.19

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US military draft authorized in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $9.45
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $140.55
Multiplier: 15.87x
User PnL: -$5.55

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $12.61
Potential payout: $86.96
Potential profit: $74.35
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$7.39

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $8.22
Potential payout: $71.52
Potential profit: $63.3
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$11.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $5.54
Potential payout: $65.22
Potential profit: $59.67
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$9.46

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.03
Potential profit: $37.03
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $24.74
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2027

Implied probability: 11.4%
Current value: $2.67
Potential payout: $23.51
Potential profit: $20.84
Multiplier: 8.81x
User PnL: $1.67

Yes position

Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.45
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $19.61
Potential profit: $17.63
Multiplier: 9.90x
User PnL: $0.98

Yes position

Will any World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.05
Potential profit: $19.05
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $2.45
Potential payout: $17.48
Potential profit: $15.04
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$2.55

No position

Will Iran Play in the World Cup?

Ends Aug 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $16
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.49
Potential profit: $14.49
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $11.69
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.59
Potential profit: $11.59
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.91
Potential profit: $10.91
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.15
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.78
Potential profit: $9.78
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.69

Yes position

Will the White House Press Secretary say "Administration" 10+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.86

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

No position

Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

Yes position

Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate after the May meeting?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 26%
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.4%
Multiplier: 3.00x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.1%
Multiplier: 14.08x
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.73

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 5.1% 19.61 shares
Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 4.1% 22.22 shares
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?

Yes 4.3% 23.51 shares
Japan recession in 2026?

Yes 35% 2.86 shares
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 2.6% 18.51 shares
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 18% 5 shares
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 28% 2.94 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.1% 5.55 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.3% 19.23 shares
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 6% 16.66 shares