Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$4
Polymarket Trader
Hype589
@hype589
0xc8243e8e85927e32991a4720b9c1bb1ede1bdf08
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.06K
- Realized PnL
- $10.02K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $1.36K
- Potential payout
- $1.44K
- Potential profit
- $78.96
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $106.75
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$190.94
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $999.99
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $605.5
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $94.5
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $85.5
Yes position
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $246
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $354
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- $161
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 12°C or below on March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $427.34
- Potential profit
- $427.34
- User PnL
- -$401.88
Yes position
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $272.02
- Potential payout
- $406
- Potential profit
- $133.98
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- -$32.8
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $321.45
- Potential payout
- $333.11
- Potential profit
- $11.66
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $24.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$18
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $233.33
- Potential payout
- $266.67
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $33.33
No position
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $202.02
- Potential payout
- $202.02
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.02
Yes position
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $137.98
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $62.02
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $63.98
Yes position
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$26
Yes position
Over $200M Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $164.54
- Potential profit
- $164.54
- User PnL
- -$44.23
No position
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $145.28
- Potential payout
- $151.57
- Potential profit
- $6.29
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $13.01
Yes position
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.3%
- Current value
- $9.74
- Potential payout
- $134.35
- Potential profit
- $124.61
- Multiplier
- 13.79x
- User PnL
- -$5.04
No position
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $118.13
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $6.88
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $18.13
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $107.25
- Potential payout
- $112.36
- Potential profit
- $5.11
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $7.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $110
- User PnL
- -$3.5
No position
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $106.38
- Potential payout
- $106.38
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $6.38
Yes position
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $84.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $15.5
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $19.5
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.4%
- Current value
- $81.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $18.65
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$8.65
Yes position
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $28.49
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $71.51
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $17.49
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.66K
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.7K
Yes position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4K
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $807.65
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $743
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $249
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 1?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180
No position
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $130.59
Yes position
Will Infrared launch a token by June 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.89
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid reach $70 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93
Yes position
Will Infrared launch a token by September 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.97
Yes position
Will Infrared launch a token by March 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.65
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: December
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.2
No position
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.72
No position
Xabi Alonso out as Real Madrid Manager in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.96
No position
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.08
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.28
Weibo Gaming position
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.94
No position
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.88
No position
Over 150,000 bidders in the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.04
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.85
Yes position
Will Infrared launch a token by December 31 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.78
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes 79% 250 shares
- Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes 72% 101 shares
- Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes 63% 55 shares
- FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo 28% 253.57 shares
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in May?No 99% 100 shares
- Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes 89% 100 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?No 99.9% 99.96 shares
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in April?No 99.8% 10 shares
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in April?No 99.4% 699.4 shares
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?Yes 36% 26.71 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 40% 50 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 39.6% 50.51 shares