No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62K
- Potential profit
- $62K
- User PnL
- -$339.57
Polymarket Trader
mails123
0xc828a4ebaa5dae5cc1e66a028256ed84efc7dbfa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $607.63
- Realized PnL
- $180.01
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $15.18
- Potential payout
- $30.35K
- Potential profit
- $30.33K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$25.52
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$49.98
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.25K
- Potential profit
- $5.25K
- User PnL
- -$5.25
Yes position
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.25K
- Potential profit
- $5.25K
- User PnL
- -$5.25
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $147.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.85K
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- $72.5
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $12.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.99K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$17.5
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $62.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.94K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $12.5
No position
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$46
Yes position
Will Trump Leave China on May 16?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$28.5
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $6.43
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.42K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $834
- Potential profit
- $830.25
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$3.5
No position
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $325.96
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $74.04
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $21.96
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $5.02
- Potential payout
- $372
- Potential profit
- $366.98
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.3%
- Current value
- $28.78
- Potential payout
- $166
- Potential profit
- $137.22
- Multiplier
- 5.77x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $119.95
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $14.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.71
No position
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?
Ends Aug 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12PM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $2.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Up position
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.5% 1,430 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 1.5% 372 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 76% 400 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 76.8% 246 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.4% 834 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 0.1% 5,000 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.3% 10,000 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.1% 10,000 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.1% 10,000 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.1% 10,000 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes 0.1% 20,000 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1AM ETDown 64% 6 shares