No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6.66
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.66
Polymarket Trader
0xc840...3799
0xc8401dc4d2b838b8f9fcf88c3c0ac24a20733799
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $11.57
- Realized PnL
- $3.77
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $2.63
- Potential payout
- $5.66
- Potential profit
- $3.03
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $2.27
- Potential payout
- $4.84
- Potential profit
- $2.56
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $3.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 15?Yes 62% 4.84 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 15?No 53% 5.66 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 15?No 85% 0.9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 15?No 85% 0.9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 15?No 86% 1.8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?Yes 39% 12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?Yes 25% 12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 15?No 83% 3.61 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 15?Yes 2.1% 51.49 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?Yes 42.7% 11.53 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 15?Yes 1.9% 51.5 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 15?No 91% 3.3 shares