Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $3.76
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$355.68
Polymarket Trader
lacuna-l1-03-23-26
0xc843f884bbdc704a61baacb62fa24a61a06afbe2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $398.08
- Realized PnL
- $190.39
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $711.24
- Potential profit
- $711.24
- User PnL
- -$236.01
Yes position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.74
- Potential payout
- $497.79
- Potential profit
- $496.05
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$18.26
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $392.58
- Potential payout
- $410
- Potential profit
- $17.43
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $113.77
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100.01
- Potential profit
- $100.01
- User PnL
- -$59
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$61
No position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.8
- Potential profit
- $11.8
- User PnL
- -$8.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $43.5
No position
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $19
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.5
No position
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.97
Oilers position
Canucks vs. Oilers
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.32
Yes position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- $7.1
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.44
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.43
No position
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.71
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.79
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.43
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.14
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.86
No position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85%?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $0.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 68% 410 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?Yes 31.3% 999.99 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?No 82% 100 shares
- US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?No 83% 100 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No 71% 200 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 72.7% 299.98 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No 17.6% 511.23 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?No 60% 150 shares
- Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?No 95.8% 82.49 shares
- Canucks vs. OilersOilers 86.9% 79.03 shares
- US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?No 95% 68.62 shares
- Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?No 76.2% 85.51 shares