Polymarket Trader

bab3

@bbab3369

0xc84fea5f86bdc1df1282ae3a7e1f17d1d08116e9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $299.05
Realized PnL: $489.24
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Blue wave in 2026?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $32.4
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $87.6
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$48

Yes position

Will Mahmoud Khalil be arrested before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $17.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $82.5
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$26.5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Reasonable" during CNBC: Squawk Box appearance on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.99
Potential profit: $79.99
User PnL: -$33.6

No position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$26.4

No position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $31.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $18.25
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$3.75

Down position

Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$20.5

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 89.8%
Current value: $44.88
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $5.13
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $21.28

Yes position

Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$25.5

No position

Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$22.5

No position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $50
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $12.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$21

Down position

Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.08
Potential profit: $48.08
User PnL: -$23.08

Yes position

AWS service disrupted by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $2.34
Potential payout: $42.59
Potential profit: $40.25
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$17.25

No position

Will Russia enter Riasne by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$30.8

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $36.6
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $3.4
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $1.4

Yes position

FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $40
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $6.8

No position

FDA approves Sanofi's Dupixent?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.99
Potential profit: $39.99
User PnL: -$20.79

Yes position

Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $26.55
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $3.45
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $5.85

Yes position

Will MrBeast's video get between 62 and 64 million views on day 3?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$11.4

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 85.2%
Current value: $17.03
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $2.97
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Spirit win PGL Astana 2026?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67

No position

Ethereum above $4300 on September 5?

Ends Sep 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.16

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.5

Cowboys position

Cowboys vs. Raiders

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.11

No position

US strike on Mexico by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $28

No position

Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26

No position

Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.5

Yes position

Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69.3%
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $24.73

No position

Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.5

Up position

Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

Yes position

Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.6

Yes position

Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.79

Yes position

Will West Ham win on 2025-05-11?

Ends May 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.52

Down position

Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.5

No position

Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 32m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.44

Yes position

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-22?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8

No position

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.6

No position

Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 900 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.4

Seidel position

Guangzhou Open: Ella Seidel vs Yulia Putintseva

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.32

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 11–May 17, 2026?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

Yes position

Will Atlas FC win on 2025-10-03?

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.05

Raptors position

Raptors vs. Kings

Ends Oct 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.03

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

No 89% 100 shares
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 5?

No 5% 50 shares
US strike on Mexico by December 31?

No 86% 200 shares
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

Yes 63.8% 80 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 15?

No 99% 100.94 shares
Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Yes 50.1% 200 shares
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-22?

Yes 11% 200 shares
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Yes 65% 200 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 13?

No 99.7% 501.4 shares
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?

Yes 90% 11.11 shares
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Yes 94.5% 31.75 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 15?

No 99.1% 40.36 shares