Polymarket Trader

betwick

@Betwick1

0xc851cd9bee7d262afd78674f861f9f576a12cd2a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $112.74K
Realized PnL: $1.25M
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $82.2K
Potential payout: $469.73K
Potential profit: $387.53K
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$1.29K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $341.59K
Potential profit: $341.59K
User PnL: -$30.09K

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.63K
Potential profit: $333.63K
User PnL: -$72.57K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $254.99K
Potential profit: $254.99K
User PnL: -$1.91K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $217.9K
Potential profit: $217.9K
User PnL: -$10.89K

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.37K
Potential profit: $137.37K
User PnL: -$16.79K

Yes position

Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $16.87K
Potential payout: $45.6K
Potential profit: $28.73K
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: -$6.17K

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69.8%
Current value: $13.08K
Potential payout: $18.76K
Potential profit: $5.67K
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $10.79K

Yes position

US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.16K
Potential profit: $4.16K
User PnL: -$1K

No position

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $579.79
Potential payout: $596.49
Potential profit: $16.7
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $11.93

Yes position

Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $526.46
Potential profit: $526.46
User PnL: -$17.37

Yes position

Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $1.19
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $68.81
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: -$19.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.84K

Yes position

Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.08K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.31K

Yes position

Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.3K

Yes position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.46K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.19K

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.86K

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $56.76K

No position

Will Medina and Quiroga advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?

Ends Aug 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.63K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $49.64K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.33K

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.96K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.55K

Yes position

Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.38K

Yes position

Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.04K

Yes position

US-China trade deal before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.66K

Yes position

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.09K

Yes position

Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.25K

No position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.57K

Yes position

Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross less than $140m opening weekend?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.68K

Yes position

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.43K

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.92K

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.11K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.67K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 81.4% 31,027.83 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 19.9% 74,723.89 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 17% 47,613.2 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 17.7% 62,712.05 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 99.6% 70,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Yes 5% 16,972.01 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 14% 72,562.66 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Yes 5% 22,436.1 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 32% 2,795.7 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 29.5% 20,649.1 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 24% 17,140.1 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Yes 6% 33,318.32 shares