Polymarket Trader

0xC853F34f762fbe0615C9421666D36EE1D47fE744-1769493406927

0xc853f34f762fbe0615c9421666d36ee1d47fe744

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $47.25
Realized PnL: $71.59
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Sacramento Kings make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $4.96
Potential payout: $47.24
Potential profit: $42.28
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.24

No position

Will Charles Schwab (SCHW) Q2 core net new assets be above $95B?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $12.5
Potential payout: $30.11
Potential profit: $17.61
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $3.16

Yes position

Pacifica FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $3.31
Potential payout: $23.62
Potential profit: $20.31
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$1.42

Over position

Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.77
Potential profit: $20.77
User PnL: -$6.44

Detroit Tigers position

Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $18.52
User PnL: -$10

Over position

Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 160.5

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.81
Potential profit: $15.81
User PnL: -$8.7

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.3
Potential profit: $13.3
User PnL: -$8.11

New York Mets position

St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $13.16
User PnL: -$5

Seattle Mariners position

Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.31
Potential profit: $11.31
User PnL: -$9.73

Spurs position

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.8
Potential profit: $10.8
User PnL: -$7.45

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $10.05
Potential payout: $10.09
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $0.11

Boston Red Sox position

Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.26
Potential profit: $9.26
User PnL: -$5

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.13
Potential profit: $9.13
User PnL: -$7.58

No position

Progressive (PGR) Q2 combined ratio 86%-89%?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 28.8%
Current value: $2.58
Potential payout: $8.96
Potential profit: $6.39
Multiplier: 3.48x
User PnL: -$1.26

Over position

Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.46
Potential profit: $7.46
User PnL: -$4.77

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $5.18
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $1.82
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $4.85
Potential payout: $5.48
Potential profit: $0.63
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$0.14

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $3.83
Potential payout: $4.59
Potential profit: $0.76
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.92

New York Mets position

Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.02

Arizona Diamondbacks position

Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.94

Detroit Tigers position

Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.68

Over position

Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 165.5

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.1

San Francisco Giants position

San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.53

Tampa Bay Rays position

Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.96

Philadelphia Phillies position

Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.07

San Diego Padres position

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4AM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7PM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26

Phoenix Mercury position

Spread: PortlandFire (-3.5)

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14

Tampa Bay Rays position

Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07

No position

Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-02-02?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.98

Colorado Rockies position

Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5PM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.71

Akron Zips position

Akron Zips vs. Eastern Michigan Eagles

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

Knicks position

Spread: Spurs (-3.5)

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Kansas City Royals position

Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Texas Longhorns position

South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Texas Longhorns

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Progressive (PGR) Q2 combined ratio 86%-89%?

No 34.9% 3.28 shares
Pacifica FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 20% 23.62 shares
Progressive (PGR) Q2 combined ratio 86%-89%?

No 42.8% 12.24 shares
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?

No 35.5% 15.39 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?

Yes 2.5% 81.56 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 82% 4.59 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

No 98.5% 10.09 shares
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?

Yes 91% 5.48 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?

Yes 3.2% 81.56 shares
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?

No 98.6% 5.04 shares
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?

No 96.6% 21.49 shares
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?

No 98.4% 10.09 shares