0xc859c04b0978Af007AcFD7178121E1666C8eB646-1767444875884

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.25
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.3
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be 81°F or below on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.61
Potential payout: $173.96
Potential profit: $173.35
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.59
Potential payout: $168.29
Potential profit: $167.7
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.41

Yes position

Will USD be less than 1.5M Iranian rials on June 30?

Implied probability: 15.6%
Current value: $20.7
Potential payout: $133.14
Potential profit: $112.44
Multiplier: 6.43x
User PnL: $19.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or below on July 1?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.61
Potential payout: $122.22
Potential profit: $121.61
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.67
Potential payout: $111.12
Potential profit: $110.45
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or below on July 1?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.61
Potential payout: $110.01
Potential profit: $109.4
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Will Valtteri Bottas win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.52
Potential payout: $103.24
Potential profit: $102.72
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will Claude Code Commits be between 500.0k and 550.0k on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.62
Potential payout: $72.92
Potential profit: $72.3
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$0.38

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on July 1?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $57.33
Potential profit: $56.93
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$0.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.22
Potential profit: $40.22
User PnL: -$18.1

Yes position

Will Claude Code Commits be between 600.0k and 650.0k on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $37.63
Potential profit: $37.48
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$0.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.11
Potential profit: $37.11
User PnL: -$9.24

Yes position

Will Oliver Bearman win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $36.44
Potential profit: $36.33
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.21
Potential profit: $30.21
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $0.61
Potential payout: $17.55
Potential profit: $16.94
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Will Pierre Gasly win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 26, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $13.34
Potential profit: $12.94
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Cap reach $0.20 before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $0.8
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.2
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$0.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $2.89
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Ends Oct 27, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $2.63
Potential profit: $1.64
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 3 United States?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65

Yes position

Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Senegal?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 7, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.93

Yes position

Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.92

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.84

Yes position

Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Algeria?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Senegal?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.57

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Implied probability: 51%
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $0.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET