Polymarket Trader

phcrux1

0xc8625094f8b6f88a28fec3a1362caf49bbd53fb2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $304.25
Realized PnL: $599.94
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $2.29
Potential payout: $157.89
Potential profit: $155.61
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$0.71

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.1%
Current value: $8.16
Potential payout: $90.2
Potential profit: $82.03
Multiplier: 11.05x
User PnL: $0.76

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $2.86
Potential payout: $50.66
Potential profit: $47.8
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $41.17
Potential payout: $50.53
Potential profit: $9.35
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $1.17

No position

Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $31.18
Potential payout: $43.01
Potential profit: $11.83
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $18.01
Potential payout: $32.17
Potential profit: $14.15
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $30.55
Potential payout: $31.19
Potential profit: $0.64
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $19.18
Potential payout: $26.09
Potential profit: $6.91
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $2.18

Yes position

Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.3%
Current value: $5.24
Potential payout: $25.88
Potential profit: $20.64
Multiplier: 4.94x
User PnL: $4.41

No position

Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $20.25
Potential payout: $25.16
Potential profit: $4.91
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will Romelu Lukaku score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $6.24
Potential payout: $24.48
Potential profit: $18.24
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$0.86

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $1.62
Potential payout: $24.4
Potential profit: $22.78
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $19.55
Potential payout: $19.86
Potential profit: $0.31
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $7.55

Yes position

Will Brad Lander be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $16.32
Potential payout: $16.63
Potential profit: $0.31
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.37

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $4.96
Potential payout: $15.75
Potential profit: $10.79
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$1.04

No position

Will Trump say "Gay" in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $12.36
Potential payout: $14.98
Potential profit: $2.62
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $4.86

No position

Will Trump say "Big League" or "Bigly" in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $6.97
Potential payout: $14.51
Potential profit: $7.55
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: -$1.03

Yes position

Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $10.4
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $2.93
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $9.87
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $3.47
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $4.53
Potential payout: $12.94
Potential profit: $8.41
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $9.88
Potential payout: $12.2
Potential profit: $2.32
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $10.77
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $1.13
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.77

Yes position

Will Senegal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $1.71
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $10.06
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.29

No position

Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $10.18
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $1.59
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.18

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.33

Yes position

Will Anthropic run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.29

Yes position

Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.58

Canadiens position

Canadiens vs. Capitals

Ends Jan 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.14

Yes position

Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.07

Yes position

Luigi Mangione extradited to New York by December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.94

Gukesh position

World Chess Championship 2024 Winner

Ends Dec 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will Sovereignty win the 2025 Kentucky Derby?

Ends May 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.67

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.13

Yes position

Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.4

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.37

Yes position

Canada election called before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.16

Yes position

Will "Super Bowl" be said at the Grammys?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.64

Yes position

Will there be 155,000,000-160,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?

Ends Dec 16, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.26

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.31

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.1

No position

Will Trump say "Greenland" during Iowa speech?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.59

Yes position

Will Ken Martin be the next DNC chair?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.53

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.29

Yes position

Elon out of Trump administration before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.54

No position

Will Bryan Johnson say "Trip Balls" or "Tripping Balls" while tripping balls?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.5

Yes position

Will England win the UEFA Women's Euro?

Ends Jul 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.72

Yes position

Will Yi Wei win on 2026-04-05 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.39

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 92% 7.35 shares
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Yes 26% 3.85 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 76% 7.04 shares
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 36.2% 8.29 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Spurs 72% 1.39 shares
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?

Yes 26% 3.85 shares
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 81% 3.7 shares
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?

Down 28% 7.14 shares
Will Trump say "Sacrifice" this week?

No 74% 1.35 shares
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?

No 86% 2.33 shares
Will Trump say "Interest rate" this week?

No 79% 2.53 shares
Will Trump say "Maduro" this week?

No 85% 2.35 shares