Polymarket Trader

shixugjhdb

0xc86982ed6e5764df56ca4ef1bb730cd7448bc832

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.62K
Realized PnL: $1.86K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.4%
Current value: $667
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.33K
Multiplier: 3.00x
User PnL: $347

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $142.8
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.86K
Multiplier: 14.01x
User PnL: -$83.2

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $387
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.61K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $211

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $135
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.87K
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: -$31

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.2%
Current value: $263
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.74K
Multiplier: 7.60x
User PnL: -$57

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $121
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.88K
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: -$73

No position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $531.75
Potential payout: $594.13
Potential profit: $62.38
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $102.96

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $376.17
Potential payout: $420.3
Potential profit: $44.13
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$6.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $318.9

No position

Will Hamas agree to disarm by February 28?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.53

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.73

No position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.1

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.83

Under position

Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.69

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.6

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.63

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.71

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.7

No position

US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.7

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.31

Under position

Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.3

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.6

No position

Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.48

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.26

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.23

No position

Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.37

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.83

Under position

Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.58

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.4

Under position

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 5.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.09

No position

Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.94

No position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 91% 420.3 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 96.3% 395.94 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 93.3% 395.94 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

No 93.4% 337.09 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

No 94.4% 7.45 shares
France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5

Under 97% 721.89 shares
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 5.5

Under 93% 323.66 shares
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 5.5

Under 92.9% 298.11 shares
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

No 46.7% 400 shares
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5

Under 43.6% 337.07 shares
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

No 50% 400 shares
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5

Under 89% 337.08 shares