Polymarket Trader

R53

0xc86dbbaf9ec073fadf11b217159087433d142e76

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $251.86
Realized PnL: $330.62
Win rate: 54.2%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $665.67
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $399.99
User PnL: -$11.96

No position

Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $171.75
Potential payout: $327.14
Potential profit: $155.39
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $14.75

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $325
Potential profit: $324.19
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$12.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $249.99
Potential profit: $249.86
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $240.4
Potential profit: $240.4
User PnL: -$55.74

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $7.4
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $125.93
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$0.6

Under position

Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $53.54
Potential payout: $91.53
Potential profit: $37.98
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $17.23
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $73.68
Multiplier: 5.28x
User PnL: -$0.77

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.67

No position

Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $36.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.91

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.14

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.61

No position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $2.63

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.44

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Ceasefire position

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.42

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump say "Eagle" in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump say "Bird" in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 26?

Yes 3.6% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 26?

No 4% 125 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 26?

No 4% 200 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 26?

Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 26?

Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 26?

Yes 97% 47.61 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 26?

Yes 21% 47.62 shares
Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5

Under 59% 91.53 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 25?

No 1.9% 34.2 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 25?

No 10% 50 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 25?

Yes 22% 136.57 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 25?

Yes 25.9% 19.31 shares