Nicolas Mejia position
Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Juan Pablo Varillas
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $101.64
- Potential payout
- $101.64
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $26.43
Polymarket Trader
TonyBigMoney
0xc86eaec2310c774e67fccb8646a1c028b1c88dfc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $370.99
- Realized PnL
- $2.03K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $12.96
- Potential payout
- $56.35
- Potential profit
- $43.39
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- $8.2
Norway position
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.8%
- Current value
- $23.52
- Potential payout
- $56.34
- Potential profit
- $32.82
- Multiplier
- 2.40x
- User PnL
- $3.52
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $50.27
- Potential payout
- $54.35
- Potential profit
- $4.08
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $28.17
- Potential payout
- $31.48
- Potential profit
- $3.3
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $3.17
No position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 13, 2026?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $24.82
- Potential payout
- $25.27
- Potential profit
- $0.45
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $17.35
- Potential payout
- $24.1
- Potential profit
- $6.75
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- -$2.65
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $17.64
- Potential payout
- $23.51
- Potential profit
- $5.88
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $1.18
N
No position
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $19.3
- Potential payout
- $22.44
- Potential profit
- $3.14
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $20.77
- Potential payout
- $21.98
- Potential profit
- $1.21
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $19.96
- Potential payout
- $20.22
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $11.5
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $5.17
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $11.51
- Potential payout
- $15.87
- Potential profit
- $4.37
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $1.51
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $11.59
- Potential payout
- $11.81
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-03-22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $241.21
Yes position
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.78
Yes position
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-03-13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.58
Yes position
Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-03-15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $95.41
Nicolas Mejia position
Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Hernan Casanova
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.98
Up position
Solana Up or Down - January 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.98
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.79
Yes position
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.98
Down position
Solana Up or Down - January 29, 12AM ET
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.87
Yes position
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-03-07?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.16
Up position
XRP Up or Down - January 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.68
Down position
XRP Up or Down - January 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.46
No position
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-03-13?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.9
Yes position
Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-03-13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.5
Felix Gill position
Split: Martin Krumich vs Felix Gill
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.43
Tomas Barrios position
Miami Open, Qualification: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Tomas Barrios
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.95
Tabilo position
Argentina Open: Facundo Acosta vs Alejandro Tabilo
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.51
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.52
No position
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-03-14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.96
Yes position
Will Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.99
South Africa position
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs South Africa (Game 1)
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.21
Yes position
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.78
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Juan Pablo VarillasNicolas Mejia 74% 101.64 shares
- Croatia Open, Qualification: Juan Carlos Prado vs Marc MajdandzicJuan Carlos Prado 99.9% 76.08 shares
- Croatia Open, Qualification: Juan Carlos Prado vs Marc MajdandzicJuan Carlos Prado 92% 76.09 shares
- Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?No 83% 24.1 shares
- Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda NoskovaLinda Noskova 99.9% 90.82 shares
- Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda NoskovaLinda Noskova 81% 60.79 shares
- Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda NoskovaLinda Noskova 78.9% 30.04 shares
- Muchova vs. Noskova: Match O/U 21.5Over 99.1% 74.25 shares
- Muchova vs. Noskova: Match O/U 21.5Over 66% 74.26 shares
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 13, 2026?No 98.2% 25.27 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 7, 2026?Yes 8.4% 56.35 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes 70% 23.51 shares