Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $18.15
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$4.52
Polymarket Trader
BayesianBet888
0xc86eef6954a9d8beecaa5099ec1ede338bb15632
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $486.57
- Realized PnL
- $478.79
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $15.95
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $3.28
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $17.05
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$3.62
Yes position
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $7.15
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$2.52
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $27.94
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- $3.47
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $25.85
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $9.18
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $25.85
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $9.18
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $347.73
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $2.27
- User PnL
- $0.53
Hawks position
Knicks vs. Hawks
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $209.38
- Potential profit
- $209.38
- User PnL
- -$98.41
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Croatia?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$24
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $199.99
- User PnL
- -$9.6
Nuggets position
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $193.2
- Potential profit
- $193.2
- User PnL
- -$98.53
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $160
- User PnL
- -$9.6
Up position
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150.01
- Potential profit
- $150.01
- User PnL
- -$99.01
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Czechia 3 - 1 South Africa?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$9
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$10.5
Pistons position
Magic vs. Pistons
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $124.25
- Potential profit
- $124.25
- User PnL
- -$99.4
Trail Blazers position
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $114.72
- Potential profit
- $114.72
- User PnL
- -$19.5
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 0 South Africa?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $110
- User PnL
- -$9.9
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$3.85
Yes position
Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1.67
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$3.85
Yes position
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.75
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.42
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.65
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.35
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.15
Suns position
Warriors vs. Suns
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.42
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.87
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Rockets position
Lakers vs. Rockets
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.33
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Suns
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.28
Knicks position
Cavaliers vs. Knicks
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.65
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.67
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.6
Nuggets position
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.5
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.04
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $10.8
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.33
No position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.44
No position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.3
No position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.02
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Will Sunoco (SUN) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Celtics position
Celtics vs. 76ers
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.4
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.98
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.4
Knicks position
Hawks vs. Knicks
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No 99.2% 350 shares
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes 14% 100 shares
- Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?Yes 7% 150 shares
- Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?Yes 6% 160 shares
- Exact Score: Czechia 3 - 1 South Africa?Yes 6% 150 shares
- Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 0 South Africa?Yes 14% 100 shares
- Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 1 South Africa?Yes 14% 100 shares
- Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 0 South Africa?Yes 9% 110 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 97.3% 300 shares
- Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Croatia?Yes 12% 100 shares
- Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Croatia?Yes 7% 100 shares
- Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Croatia?Yes 9% 100 shares