Polymarket Trader

0xc871d8E4487975451942a18dBF07C2aC0D1C57E7-1769967068342

0xc871d8e4487975451942a18dbf07c2ac0d1c57e7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $758.34
Realized PnL: $572.88
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $180.88
Potential payout: $294.11
Potential profit: $113.23
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$9.63

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $248.3
Potential payout: $260
Potential profit: $11.7
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $9.5

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $230.28
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $9.72
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $6.13

Yes position

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $130
User PnL: -$45.2

Yes position

Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.98
Potential profit: $119.98
User PnL: -$7.04

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $56.64
Potential payout: $78.12
Potential profit: $21.48
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $8.2

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $42.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $7.75
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $1.15

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.99
Potential profit: $39.99
User PnL: -$10.3

Australia position

Spread: United States (-1.5)

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$6.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.4

No position

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.7

No position

France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.84

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.5

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.5

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.6

Yes position

Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.6

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.4

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.6

Yes position

Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.3

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.6

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.5

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.8

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.3

PARIVISION position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.99

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.2

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.56

No position

Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-19?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.4

No position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.08

Hawks position

Spread: Hawks (-4.5)

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.7

Over position

Indiana Hoosiers vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 149.5

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Over position

Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 241.5

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Under position

Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 249.5

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Over position

GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. KRC Genk: O/U 2.5

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 62% 78.12 shares
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Down 64.8% 294.11 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 0.1% 48,720 shares
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Yes 62% 161.29 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 44% 113.64 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 90% 10 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 40% 500 shares
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Yes 74% 10 shares
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Yes 74% 10 shares
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Yes 74% 10 shares
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Yes 60% 10 shares
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Yes 40% 10 shares