No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $1.69K
- Potential payout
- $3.88K
- Potential profit
- $2.19K
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$362.1
Polymarket Trader
thetaarbitrage
0xc88293a41ffb2d3ec72a722920f62d0341b48736
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.69K
- Realized PnL
- $71.64
- Win rate
- 68.8%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $399.99
- User PnL
- -$260
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Elon register the America Party in July?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $310
No position
Will India invade Pakistan before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108
No position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86
No position
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.72
No position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100k in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36
No position
Leonardo DiCaprio engaged in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.72
No position
Will MrBeast buy TikTok before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.2
N
No position
Will U.S. GDP growth be greater than 2% in Q1 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
No position
US-China trade deal before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$114
No position
Elon out of Trump administration before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$140
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$153.5
No position
Bitcoin all time high by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$157.5
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$162
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Leonardo DiCaprio engaged in 2025?No 92% 170 shares
- Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?No 96% 600 shares
- US-China trade deal before June?No 38% 300 shares
- Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?No 80% 300 shares