Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $425.68K
- Potential payout
- $426.32K
- Potential profit
- $639.48
- User PnL
- $238.78K
Polymarket Trader
Clicker1
0xc8849a93e05a2ae1b49bb07787a9e0059bb4e17e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.19M
- Realized PnL
- $16.52K
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $244.69K
- Potential profit
- $244.69K
- User PnL
- -$73.84K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $227.86K
- Potential profit
- $227.86K
- User PnL
- -$75.44K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $210.75K
- Potential payout
- $211.91K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- User PnL
- $4.34K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $204.74K
- Potential payout
- $205.05K
- Potential profit
- $307.57
- User PnL
- $120.45K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $136.58K
- Potential profit
- $136.58K
- User PnL
- -$68.8K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $129.28K
- Potential payout
- $129.47K
- Potential profit
- $194.21
- User PnL
- $53.14K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $18.08K
- Potential payout
- $103.3K
- Potential profit
- $85.22K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$8.92K
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $96.25K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $3.75K
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $6.15K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $39.77K
- Potential payout
- $70.41K
- Potential profit
- $30.63K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $8.63K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $58.8K
- Potential payout
- $64.97K
- Potential profit
- $6.17K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3.87K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.53K
- Potential profit
- $54.53K
- User PnL
- -$5.45K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $97.94
- Potential payout
- $27.98K
- Potential profit
- $27.88K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.98K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.72K
- Potential profit
- $21.72K
- User PnL
- -$12.25K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.39K
- Potential profit
- $13.39K
- User PnL
- -$3.54K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.45K
- Potential profit
- $5.45K
- User PnL
- -$2.12K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $5.1K
- Potential payout
- $5.11K
- Potential profit
- $7.66
- User PnL
- $1.34K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.98K
- Potential profit
- $3.98K
- User PnL
- -$1.91K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.62K
- Potential profit
- $3.62K
- User PnL
- -$614.98
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $2.97K
- Potential payout
- $2.97K
- Potential profit
- $4.46
- User PnL
- $798.04
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.28K
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $0.64
- User PnL
- $251.89
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $12.03K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.52K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.38K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 65% 82,621.94 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 63.2% 21,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 62.8% 4,353.11 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 49.7% 24,606.47 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 49.6% 13,062.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 59.6% 8,587.48 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.1% 105,270.04 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 54% 10,237.67 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 73.6% 5,106.76 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 65% 2,389.84 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 56% 20,513.95 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 53.9% 3,397.15 shares