No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $98.02
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $6.98
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$3.17
Polymarket Trader
graveman
0xc8979dacbeb48dd4df8f16e27714dc29e8b10bdf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $286.44
- Realized PnL
- $9.12
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $52.44
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $2.56
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.63
Yes position
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $51.89
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $3.11
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $54.2
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $0.8
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
Ends Jan 25, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $29.89
- Potential payout
- $31.05
- Potential profit
- $1.16
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47
No position
Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
No position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Valve remove Dust 2 from the Map Pool?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30?No 98.4% 22.72 shares