No position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.35K
- Potential profit
- $70.35K
- User PnL
- -$277.94
Polymarket Trader
0xc898b118E7c4BF0FFfCB8C275E27541C6044b0f8-1773234348935
0xc898b118e7c4bf0fffcb8c275e27541c6044b0f8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.06K
- Realized PnL
- $2.99K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.81K
- Potential profit
- $56.81K
- User PnL
- -$639.9
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.09K
- Potential profit
- $7.09K
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.19K
- Potential profit
- $2.19K
- User PnL
- -$1.6K
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $1.05K
- Potential payout
- $1.88K
- Potential profit
- $828.12
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- -$55.35
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $4.23
- Potential payout
- $939.61
- Potential profit
- $935.39
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$145.77
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $5.69
- Potential payout
- $711.81
- Potential profit
- $706.12
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$157.3
No position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $666.67
- Potential profit
- $666.67
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $652.17
- Potential profit
- $652.17
- User PnL
- -$300
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $602.15
- Potential profit
- $602.15
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 4, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $590.44
- Potential profit
- $590.44
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $589.13
- Potential profit
- $589.13
- User PnL
- -$45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $535.25
- Potential profit
- $535.25
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $484
- Potential profit
- $484
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $446.43
- Potential profit
- $446.43
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Vincenzo Ceccarelli win the 2026 Arezzo mayoral election?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $424.03
- Potential profit
- $424.03
- User PnL
- -$120
Yes position
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $348.84
- Potential profit
- $348.84
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will Mario Almici win the 2026 Legnano mayoral election?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $252.79
- Potential profit
- $252.79
- User PnL
- -$100
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $225.13
- Potential profit
- $225.13
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $189.88
- Potential profit
- $189.88
- User PnL
- -$150
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $151.51
- Potential profit
- $151.51
- User PnL
- -$114
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $563.63
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.70x
- User PnL
- $374.3
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $343.34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $303.48
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $288.54
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.42
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $83.67
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.33
Yes position
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.01
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.97
Yes position
Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.29
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.17
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $57.77
No position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.17
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.59
No position
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.15
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.52
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.74
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $44.93
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.33
No position
Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.68
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.09
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 56.9% 950.42 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 18?No 88.5% 112.97 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 17?No 71.5% 139.93 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 58.4% 886.97 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 61% 931.67 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 75% 756.72 shares
- Starmer out by August 31, 2026?No 3% 100 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETDown 98% 25.51 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETDown 44.4% 225.13 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETDown 6% 166.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETDown 56% 17.86 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETDown 42% 59.52 shares