Yes position
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.11K
- Potential profit
- $2.11K
- User PnL
- -$70
Polymarket Trader
Mogens1
0xc89ae9d635d06e67792ecc9224f9669a7541368c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $100.74
- Realized PnL
- $46.85
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $18.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $981.5
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.3%
- Current value
- $82.24
- Potential payout
- $504.51
- Potential profit
- $422.28
- Multiplier
- 6.13x
- User PnL
- -$29.77
Yes position
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 end of February?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- $25
Yes position
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 end of January?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.49
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $18.33
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.37
Yes position
Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$31.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 6% 312.5 shares
- AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes 22.2% 504.5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 89.6% 145.5 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 16% 312.5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 82.5% 145.5 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Yes 2.1% 484.39 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Yes 2.1% 515.61 shares
- AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes 25.8% 637.75 shares
- Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?Yes 6.6% 615.38 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Yes 3.7% 444.44 shares
- AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?Yes 2.7% 744.02 shares
- AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?Yes 1.9% 515.8 shares