Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the CT-01 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $3.03
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $46.98
- Multiplier
- 16.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Polymarket Trader
RazuchiDISNEY
0xc8a2608f430a9eaff02dceebbb92a0eeab02c9b6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $45.91
- Realized PnL
- $6.06
- Win rate
- 20.8%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $3.18
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $46.83
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
No position
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 8.2%
- Current value
- $4.1
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $45.9
- Multiplier
- 12.20x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $1.77
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.23
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 24 or 25 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $18.45
- Potential payout
- $49.87
- Potential profit
- $31.42
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$2.49
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $2.16
- Potential payout
- $43.18
- Potential profit
- $41.02
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.86
Yes position
Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title?
Ends Oct 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $13.23
- Potential payout
- $24.27
- Potential profit
- $11.04
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will Marine Le Pen announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Multiplier
- 38.46x
- User PnL
- $0.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-03 House seat?
Ends Nov 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Konnor Griffin win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Multiplier
- 40.00x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Haissem Hassan score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $55 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 15, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 83%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-01 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will Erling Haaland win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Mike Trout hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?
Ends Oct 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Russia capture Borova by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.6%
- Multiplier
- 9.48x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will Mo Ivory win the 2026 Fulton Commission Chair election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Democratic Party win the WI-02 House seat?Yes 93.6% 44.95 shares
- Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?No 93.4% 49.99 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 9?No 56% 9.09 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the TX-31 House seat?Yes 81% 49.99 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?Yes 84% 49.99 shares
- Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in July?Yes 18% 49.99 shares
- Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?No 91.5% 49.99 shares
- Will Morocco be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No 84.8% 33.1 shares
- Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?Yes 93.8% 49.99 shares
- Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?No 95% 49.99 shares
- Will the Boston Red Sox clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?No 78% 6.16 shares
- Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title?Yes 56% 25.73 shares