Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $625
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
Electromaniac - 39298
0xc8a321035916ec6a4f48e00ba74b3684edcd8328
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $35.76
- Realized PnL
- -$9.57
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Ukraine strike on Moscow municipality by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $355.29
- Potential profit
- $355.29
- User PnL
- -$37
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $227.27
- Potential profit
- $227.27
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Santa deliver between 8,100,000,000 and 8,200,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
Ends Dec 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $211.4
- Potential profit
- $211.4
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $2.07
- Potential payout
- $106.38
- Potential profit
- $104.31
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$2.93
Yes position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.21
- Potential profit
- $76.21
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $4.11
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $67.32
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$5.89
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Current value
- $3.61
- Potential payout
- $57.69
- Potential profit
- $54.09
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.39
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.59
- Potential profit
- $36.59
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $25.97
- Potential payout
- $25.97
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $5.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?Yes 77% 25.97 shares
- Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Address to the Nation?Yes 6.6% 76.21 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 10.4% 57.69 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes 32.1% 50 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes 14% 71.43 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 4.7% 106.38 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes 41% 36.59 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes 10% 50 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes 30% 50 shares
- Ukraine strike on Moscow municipality by December 31?Yes 12.3% 81.3 shares
- Ukraine strike on Moscow municipality by December 31?Yes 12.3% 65.04 shares
- Ukraine strike on Moscow municipality by December 31?Yes 12.3% 40.65 shares