No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $543.25
- Potential payout
- $581.95
- Potential profit
- $38.7
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $6.95
Polymarket Trader
0xc8A5Fb6E9e78Cc63Ec344D85fed665f8EaC382bD-1773664201494
0xc8a5fb6e9e78cc63ec344d85fed665f8eac382bd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.91K
- Realized PnL
- $98.32
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $306.3
- Potential payout
- $307.07
- Potential profit
- $0.77
- User PnL
- $6.3
No position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $163.06
- Potential payout
- $174.39
- Potential profit
- $11.34
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $3.06
No position
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $151.58
- Potential payout
- $152.03
- Potential profit
- $0.46
- User PnL
- $1.07
No position
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $85.93
- Potential payout
- $111.67
- Potential profit
- $25.74
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- -$21.27
No position
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $101.68
- Potential payout
- $102.04
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- User PnL
- $1.68
No position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $100.71
- Potential payout
- $101.63
- Potential profit
- $0.91
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $100.97
- Potential payout
- $101.53
- Potential profit
- $0.56
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $100.55
- Potential payout
- $100.91
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $100.33
- Potential payout
- $100.83
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $99.55
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.45
- User PnL
- $1.15
No position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $44.14
- Potential payout
- $74.18
- Potential profit
- $30.04
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$13.33
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $9.47
- Potential payout
- $11.76
- Potential profit
- $2.29
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $4.12
- Potential payout
- $4.21
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $2.14
- Potential profit
- $1.16
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.82
- Potential payout
- $2.01
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.5
No position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.44
No position
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.46
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.68
No position
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.29
No position
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62
No position
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
No position
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.15
No position
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.71
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.34
No position
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.21
No position
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.13
No position
Trump out as President by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.03
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.91
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.86
No position
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49
No position
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.5%?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.41
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
No position
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
No position
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Yes position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?No 54% 20 shares
- Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?No 86.1% 54.18 shares
- Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?No 96% 70 shares
- Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?No 96% 41.67 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 99.1% 101.52 shares
- Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?No 96.6% 109.65 shares
- Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?No 93.8% 7.91 shares
- Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?No 99.5% 100.51 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?No 99.6% 101.11 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.2% 141.13 shares
- Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?No 97% 103.09 shares
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?No 98.4% 101.63 shares