Yes position
Will The Secret Agent win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $360.31
- Potential profit
- $360.31
- User PnL
- -$4.28
Polymarket Trader
GreenYoshi
0xc8b2b62e9ac155c153c0fdeaf35672be58fb7c84
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $58.06
- Realized PnL
- $2.09K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $260
- Potential profit
- $260
- User PnL
- -$52
Yes position
Will Powell say "Affordability" during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $115.47
- Potential profit
- $115.47
- User PnL
- -$2.73
Yes position
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $106.02
- Potential profit
- $106.02
- User PnL
- -$4.43
No position
Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of May 18 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$3.1
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Powell say "Comment" during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.99
- User PnL
- -$1.65
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 3?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Dana White attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Sprint World Record Broken?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78.94
- Potential profit
- $78.94
- User PnL
- -$4.11
Yes position
Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Freestyle World Record Broken?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $77.56
- Potential profit
- $77.56
- User PnL
- -$9.13
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $75
- User PnL
- -$1.75
Yes position
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 7 awards at the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $75
- User PnL
- -$4.05
Yes position
Will Powell say "Collect" or "Collected" during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $75
- User PnL
- -$1.23
Yes position
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $75
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.1%
- Current value
- $58.06
- Potential payout
- $71.63
- Potential profit
- $13.57
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $7.01
Yes position
Will Moldova win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.37
- Potential profit
- $70.37
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.64
- Potential profit
- $66.64
- User PnL
- -$61.43
No position
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.85
- Potential profit
- $65.85
- User PnL
- -$10.93
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.99
- Potential profit
- $61.99
- User PnL
- -$10.9
No position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.29
- Potential profit
- $61.29
- User PnL
- -$1.46
Yes position
Will Sarah Snook (All Her Fault) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$7.03
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.77
- Potential profit
- $58.77
- User PnL
- -$1.76
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $89.65
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.9
Yes position
Will Trump say "Putin" during his announcement on September 2?
Ends Sep 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.62
Yes position
Will Trump say "Biden" during the announcement on December 22?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.55
Yes position
Will Trump say "Tomahawk" or "Patriot" during announcement today?
Ends Oct 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.3
No position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.6
No position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.2
No position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.85
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.16
No position
Will Trump say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during Fed chair announcement?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.13
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.43
No position
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.95
No position
Will Xtreme Gaming win The International 2025 Tournament?
Ends Sep 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.45
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hindu" or "Hinduism" during Diwali Celebration events on October 21?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46
Yes position
Will Ares Capital (ARCC) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45.98
Yes position
Will Trump say "Oil" during Diwali Celebration events on October 21?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.72
No position
Will MrBeast raise between $40m and $41m by midnight?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.08
No position
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 7 awards at the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.26
Yes position
Will Powell say "Successor" during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.97
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.83
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.12
No position
Will Trump say "Olympic" during Panthers visit?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.56
No position
Will Trump say "Shutdown" or "Shut down" during announcement today?
Ends Oct 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.96
No position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.74
Yes position
Will Trump say "Jew" or "Muslim" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.19
Yes position
Will Trump say "Border" during the Black History Month reception?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.91
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 26?
Ends Aug 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.61
No position
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.52
Yes position
Will Trump say "Eight Wars" or "Nine Wars" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.5
Yes position
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 14?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.38
No position
Jimmy Kimmel cancelled by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.29
Yes position
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.26
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.23
No position
Khamenei seen in public by March 1?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.21
No position
Will Trump say "Smart" or "High IQ" during the Black History Month reception?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.56
Yes position
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election by more than 30%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.22
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.91
Yes position
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31
Yes position
Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.38
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will Stubhub’s market cap be between $8B and $9B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.94
Yes position
Will Ole Miss win the 2026 College Football National Championship?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.79
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.72
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.61
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes 21% 50 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 51% 2.33 shares
- Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?Yes 31% 2.5 shares
- Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?Yes 65% 20 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 29.8% 8.33 shares
- Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?Yes 66% 20 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?No 29% 13.93 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?No 41% 20 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?No 36% 20 shares
- Will Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?Yes 24% 20 shares
- Will Safepoint not IPO before August 2026?No 25.7% 49.69 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No 78% 5 shares