Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $85.55
- Potential payout
- $98.9
- Potential profit
- $13.35
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$4.45
Polymarket Trader
Cryal
@AgnikaLazaro
0xc8c297f69de41c3bf574fa4ddf6be610e04331ec
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $145.81
- Realized PnL
- $66.79
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.59
- Potential profit
- $70.59
- User PnL
- -$12
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $37.58
- Potential payout
- $38.95
- Potential profit
- $1.36
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.2%
- Current value
- $22.68
- Potential payout
- $30.98
- Potential profit
- $8.3
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- -$5.32
Yes position
Will Solana reach $150 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.97
- Potential profit
- $7.97
- User PnL
- -$4.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.23
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.31
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.01
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.96
Yes position
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.82
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.45
No position
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89
No position
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.41
Yes position
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
No position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Yes position
Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29
Yes position
Will Trove launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Canada win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,600 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 91% 98.9 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 95% 38.95 shares
- England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?No 90.4% 30.98 shares
- Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?No 93.9% 37.27 shares
- Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?No 90% 38.89 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?Yes 93% 133.03 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 15?No 87% 26.21 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 97.3% 16.66 shares
- Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?Yes 17% 70.59 shares
- Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes 51% 15.87 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Yes 57% 18.82 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?Yes 87.5% 133.03 shares