Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $104.65
- Potential payout
- $230
- Potential profit
- $125.35
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $35.65
Polymarket Trader
xfm-2-2
0xc8c5293c439325dcecb2dfd8e1bc321f86dacd7c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $104.65
- Realized PnL
- $87.19
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93
No position
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $16.8
No position
Vanta IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $12.5
Yes position
Cerebras IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.25
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 64%
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- -$48.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 30% 230 shares
- Vanta IPO before 2027?No 92% 58.87 shares
- Vanta IPO before 2027?No 92% 191.13 shares
- Vanta IPO before 2027?No 87% 250 shares
- Will France win Eurovision 2026?No 87.7% 143.71 shares
- Will France win Eurovision 2026?No 85.6% 250 shares
- Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?No 82% 240 shares
- Cerebras IPO before 2027?Yes 89% 26.9 shares
- Cerebras IPO before 2027?Yes 79% 220 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?Yes 68% 240 shares
- Cerebras IPO before 2027?Yes 79% 200 shares
- Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No 38% 150 shares