Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $13.3
- Potential payout
- $699.94
- Potential profit
- $686.65
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- $2.1
Polymarket Trader
btacc
0xc8caa4b9d7b8d61c1eead1f6d7130c74f8e2960b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.85K
- Realized PnL
- $11.94K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $476
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $24
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $462.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $37.5
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $450
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $50
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $5.76
- Potential payout
- $138.89
- Potential profit
- $133.13
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 10?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $111.86
- Potential payout
- $124.98
- Potential profit
- $13.12
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will Multipli.fi launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $54.04
- Potential payout
- $107
- Potential profit
- $52.97
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$4.82
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $7
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $93
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $19.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $80.5
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $10.5
No position
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $33
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $67
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- $9
No position
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $79
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $21
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$1.14
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $19.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $80.5
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$27.5
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $95
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$23
Yes position
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $3.65
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $96.35
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$9.35
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $62.47
- Potential payout
- $62.53
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $6.19
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.34
- Potential profit
- $62.34
- User PnL
- -$7.42
Yes position
Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.98
- Potential profit
- $60.98
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $5.28
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $50.28
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $4.72
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $50.83
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 18.7%
- Current value
- $9.35
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $40.65
- Multiplier
- 5.35x
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $6.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $43.75
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.75
No position
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $10.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $39.5
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $4.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $45.25
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$5.75
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $6.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $43.25
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$6.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65K
No position
VOOI FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $744.47
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $718.89
No position
Over $50M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $626.76
Yes position
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $564.68
No position
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $560
Yes position
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $540.63
No position
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $535.9
No position
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $531.98
No position
Will Almanak FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $485.72
No position
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $440.5
No position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be greater than 67m?
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $430.13
No position
VOOI FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $420.71
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $409.22
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $399.42
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "eighth war" or "eight wars" during Ukraine President events on December 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $383.25
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $364.26
No position
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $327.57
No position
Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 23m?
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $322.45
No position
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $319.56
Yes position
Over $16M committed to the Space public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $307.9
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $305.24
No position
Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $277.26
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $276.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 9% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 21% 50 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 33% 30 shares
- Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?Yes 14% 35.71 shares
- Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?Yes 9% 55.56 shares
- Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?Yes 23% 21.74 shares
- Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?Yes 3.6% 138.89 shares
- Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?Yes 9% 55.56 shares
- Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?Yes 17% 29.41 shares
- Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?Yes 21% 23.81 shares
- Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?Yes 29% 17.24 shares
- Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?Yes 25% 20 shares