Polymarket Trader

whatisthisclownmarket

0xc8d3f544fce0964ce54149c50db519e95749343d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.56K
Realized PnL: $53.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.22K
Potential profit: $20.22K
User PnL: -$6.57K

Yes position

Israel military strike against Iran in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.01K
Potential profit: $13.01K
User PnL: -$2.09K

No position

Israel military action against Iran by Friday?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.5K
Potential profit: $7.5K
User PnL: -$6.43K

Yes position

Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.47K
Potential profit: $7.47K
User PnL: -$1.74K

Yes position

Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $7K
User PnL: -$4.58K

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $58
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.94K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.21K
Potential profit: $2.21K
User PnL: -$997.44

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.5K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $69

No position

Pakistan military strike on India by Friday?

Ends May 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$235.72

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1K
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $11

Yes position

Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$130

Yes position

Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary >15%

Ends Jan 22, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $899.33
Potential profit: $899.33
User PnL: -$683.49

Yes position

US x Iran nuclear talks resume before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $702
Potential profit: $702
User PnL: -$321.74

No position

Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $540.17
Potential profit: $540.17
User PnL: -$229.57

Yes position

Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $299.99
User PnL: -$11.9

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$1.78

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.19K

Yes position

Israel military response against Iran in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.22K

Yes position

Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5K

Yes position

Israel announces ceasefire by January 16?

Ends Jan 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.25K

Yes position

Pavel Durov released in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.8K

No position

Will Kanye launch a coin in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.27K

Yes position

Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69K

Yes position

Israel military action against Iraq before November?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08K

Yes position

Will Grand Theft Auto VI Trailer 2 get between 60m and 70m views in first 24 hours?

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.95K

Yes position

Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88K

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75K

No position

Was Trump hacked?

Ends Jan 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42K

Yes position

India military action against Pakistan before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41K

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38K

Yes position

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2K

Yes position

Will PAP win between 87 and 89 seats in the Singapore election?

Ends May 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

Yes position

Iran strike on Israel by Friday?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

Yes position

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

No position

Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $968

Yes position

Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $820.86

No position

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 18?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $766.61

Yes position

Will there be a US Government shutdown?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $728.63

No position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $661.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

No 98.8% 1,999.99 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

No 96.6% 479.52 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

No 96.7% 682.13 shares
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

Yes 96.4% 5,233.43 shares
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

Yes 96.9% 58.45 shares
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?

Yes 94.9% 13,213.65 shares
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Yes 99.8% 19,846.69 shares
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

No 99.8% 500 shares
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Yes 74% 200 shares
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Yes 74% 132.99 shares
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Yes 73.9% 112 shares
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Yes 74.4% 207.86 shares