Polymarket Trader

0xC8dd5f8a591f0eeC2A8Daaf3A1dDc8894e32792D-1769345601098

0xc8dd5f8a591f0eec2a8daaf3a1ddc8894e32792d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $202.39
Realized PnL: $4.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $101.13
Potential payout: $2.89K
Potential profit: $2.79K
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$23.87

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.65K
Potential profit: $1.65K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.43K
User PnL: -$507

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $1.21K
User PnL: -$109

Yes position

Iran leadership change by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $666.67
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $34.21
Potential payout: $526.32
Potential profit: $492.11
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$65.79

Yes position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $454.55
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Iran leadership change by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $454.55
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $454.55
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $416.67
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $60.53
Potential payout: $390.5
Potential profit: $329.97
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$39.47

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $243.07
Potential profit: $243.07
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $6.52
Potential payout: $86.96
Potential profit: $80.43
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$13.48

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.61K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $911.11

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $400.74

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $392.63

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $388.24

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $343.32

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.39

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 4.3% 2,889.43 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 19% 526.32 shares
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Yes 33.7% 297.06 shares
Iran leadership change by June 30?

Yes 22% 454.55 shares
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Yes 33.8% 295.57 shares
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Yes 25.6% 390.5 shares
Iran leadership change by April 30?

Yes 20% 500 shares
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?

Yes 33.4% 598.94 shares
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?

Yes 35.2% 442.98 shares
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?

Yes 39% 387.18 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Yes 33% 454.55 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Yes 46% 217.39 shares