Polymarket Trader

flyfrog

0xc8e0e163137d88ee4b82316b89f9ca09decbb495

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $17.93K
Realized PnL: $3.07K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $4.82K
Potential payout: $21K
Potential profit: $16.18K
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $1.46K

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.6%
Current value: $4.32K
Potential payout: $21K
Potential profit: $16.68K
Multiplier: 4.87x
User PnL: $2.45K

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $829.5
Potential payout: $21K
Potential profit: $20.17K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$263.49

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $1.21K
Potential payout: $21K
Potential profit: $19.79K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$599.23

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $2.15K
Potential payout: $21K
Potential profit: $18.85K
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$116.34

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $1.06K
Potential payout: $21K
Potential profit: $19.94K
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $119.64

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $1.21K
Potential payout: $21K
Potential profit: $19.79K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$1.08K

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $2.34K
Potential payout: $21K
Potential profit: $18.66K
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$1.21K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $377.1
Potential profit: $377.1
User PnL: -$200

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$106

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $192.31
Potential profit: $192.31
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.98
Potential profit: $53.98
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.17
Potential profit: $47.17
User PnL: -$25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $824.93

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $301.95

No position

Will Bilibili Gaming win LoL Worlds 2025?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.19

No position

Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.66

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6AM ET

Ends Oct 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.1

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.89

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.63

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7AM ET

Ends Oct 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104

No position

Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.5

Up position

XRP Up or Down on January 13?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.6

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on December 12?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75

T1 position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67

No position

Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.61

Yes position

Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.28

Anyones Legend position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 2 Winner

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34

Hanwha Life Esports position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winner

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.9

Suns position

Warriors vs. Suns

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.08

Hanwha Life Esports position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.9

Gen.G position

LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner

Ends Oct 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.9

No position

Ethereum all time high by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Up 53% 87.56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Up 10% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

Up 53% 377.1 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

Up 52% 192.31 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

Up 53% 47.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Up 16% 31.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Up 22% 22.73 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Down 50% 50 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Up 19.4% 129.12 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Down 77% 32.47 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Down 55% 45.45 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.1% 899.99 shares