Utah position
Utah vs. Golden Knights
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31
- Potential profit
- $31
- User PnL
- -$12.71
Polymarket Trader
ElementalDistillery
0xc8e86d0c8a6b5f2e701adc4a1ba4589e535ced84
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $23.15
- Realized PnL
- $6.4
- Win rate
- 93.3%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $23.15
- Potential payout
- $25.58
- Potential profit
- $2.43
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.43
- Potential profit
- $4.43
- User PnL
- -$4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.19
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5.5m?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last less than 80 seconds?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 86% 25.58 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6?Yes 94.9% 13.7 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 6?Yes 71.5% 11.19 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6?Yes 14% 14.29 shares
- Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No 99.3% 24.16 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 96% 25.23 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 95.1% 25.23 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 97% 24.84 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96.6% 24.84 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 94.9% 25.26 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 95% 25.26 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 97.1% 25 shares