Polymarket Trader

ExclusiveBia

0xc8ef47ecfe2453410566668a9ca7795b4efbc2f3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $55.04
Realized PnL: $74.66
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin March 18-24?

Ends Mar 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $1.55K
User PnL: -$72.06

Yes position

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 8.9%
Current value: $4.43
Potential payout: $49.73
Potential profit: $45.3
Multiplier: 11.24x
User PnL: $0.43

No position

President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.89
Potential payout: $36.36
Potential profit: $35.47
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$1.11

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 41.7%
Current value: $9.92
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $13.89
Multiplier: 2.40x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Trump-Putin-Xi meeting before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $8.88
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $8.36
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $3.88

No position

Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $4.92
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $10.7
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.7%
Current value: $5.95
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $9.44
Multiplier: 2.59x
User PnL: $0.95

Argentina position

England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.81
Potential payout: $10.81
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $5.81

No position

Will Norway win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $1.77
Potential payout: $8.7
Potential profit: $6.92
Multiplier: 4.90x
User PnL: -$0.23

Odd position

England vs. Argentina: Total Corners Odd or Even?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3

Yes position

England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Kanye West release an album before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 59%
Current value: $1.47
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $1.03
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: -$0.53

No position

England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.04
Potential profit: $2.04
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump's approval rating be between 47.5% and 47.9% on March 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.41
Potential profit: $1.41
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Ethereum hit $3,800 by Friday?

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.42

No position

Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.5

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.85

No position

Bitcoin above $97,000 on December 27?

Ends Dec 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.9

Yes position

South Korean President impeached in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.49

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.96

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.91

Yes position

Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 again by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.95

Yes position

Will South Korean President lift martial law today?

Ends Dec 3, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41

Yes position

Will Kai and Speed win Fortnite in 100+ tries?

Ends Dec 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

Yes position

Will Kai and Speed win Fortnite in 75-99 tries?

Ends Dec 27, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.36

Yes position

Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34

No position

Will François Bayrou be the next French Prime Minister?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.26

No position

South Korean President impeached in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.21

No position

Will Trump's approval rating be between 47.0% and 47.4% on March 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

No position

Solana above $245 on December 6?

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

No position

Kai and Speed win Fortnite before Sunday?

Ends Dec 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Lily Phillips sex event cancelled?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.46

No position

Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?

Yes 8% 49.73 shares
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?

No 80% 2.5 shares
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?

No 29% 17.24 shares
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?

No 32% 15.63 shares
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

No 5.5% 36.36 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 32.5% 15.38 shares
Will Norway win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 23% 8.7 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 42% 23.81 shares
England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

Yes 21% 4.76 shares
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score

No 49% 2.04 shares
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance

Argentina 46.2% 10.81 shares
England vs. Argentina: Total Corners Odd or Even?

Odd 50% 6 shares