No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $2.01K
- Potential payout
- $2.25K
- Potential profit
- $235.96
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $11.24
Polymarket Trader
ObiVan
0xc8fdcd800422540ad0974b6ea9db0e3dc5937dc5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.77K
- Realized PnL
- $1.03K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.1%
- Current value
- $405.53
- Potential payout
- $526.32
- Potential profit
- $120.79
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- -$94.47
No position
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 June 29-July 5?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.9%
- Current value
- $349.2
- Potential payout
- $506.89
- Potential profit
- $157.69
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- -$150.8
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $368.24
- Potential profit
- $368.24
- User PnL
- -$300
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $317.46
- Potential profit
- $317.46
- User PnL
- -$300
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.37
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.85
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.63
No position
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.57
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.78
Alcaraz position
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.27
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.63
Sinner position
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Shelton
Ends Jul 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.85
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.29
No position
Will Elon register the America Party in July?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.58
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.11
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.87
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hormuz" this week? (March 22)
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.72
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.12
No position
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.58
No position
Will Trump attend Hulk Hogan's funeral?
Ends Aug 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.95
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.6
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 June 15-21?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.13
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.78
Alcaraz position
Wimbledon: Alcaraz vs. Fritz
Ends Jul 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.05
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.33
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.2
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.28
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.92
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 89% 2,247.19 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5?No 95% 526.32 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $1,800 June 29-July 5?No 98.6% 506.89 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 22-28?No 97% 515.46 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 June 15-21?No 87.7% 171.13 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 15-21?No 96.7% 206.83 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?No 97.9% 255.31 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $1,900 June 8-14?No 94% 212.77 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 8-14?No 96.8% 309.92 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?No 96.9% 515.92 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 81.5% 368.24 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 92.8% 300 shares