Polymarket Trader

luttoo

0xc914dac4790a0b996cccad0435f5e7226d11c458

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $556.29
Realized PnL: $1.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $283.4
Potential payout: $699.76
Potential profit: $416.36
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$1.45

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $37.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $462.5
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$12.5

Yes position

Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.43
Potential payout: $434.34
Potential profit: $433.91
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$14.57

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $399.95
Potential profit: $394.95
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$5.8

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $31.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $268.5
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $5.89
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $216.33
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$4.11

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $6.96
Potential payout: $214.29
Potential profit: $207.32
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$8.04

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $28
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $172
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $25
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $175
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $21
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $179
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$39

Yes position

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $12.06
Potential payout: $196.08
Potential profit: $184.02
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: $2.06

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $8.44
Potential payout: $187.5
Potential profit: $179.06
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$6.56

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.7%
Current value: $50.23
Potential payout: $153.85
Potential profit: $103.62
Multiplier: 3.06x
User PnL: $30.23

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $26.22
Potential payout: $121.95
Potential profit: $95.73
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $16.22

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $6.4
Potential payout: $116.4
Potential profit: $109.99
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$8.6

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $8.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $41.75
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$1.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $319.5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $120K August 4–10?

Ends Aug 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $238.46

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $122K August 4–10?

Ends Aug 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.48

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $121K August 4–10?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.6

Yes position

Ethereum above $2,600 on November 1?

Ends Nov 1, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $130.43

Down position

Solana Up or Down - March 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.08

Up position

Solana Up or Down - March 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.37

Yes position

Will Trump x Rogan interview last 150-180 min?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93

Yes position

Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76

Yes position

Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $58.1

Yes position

Bitcoin above $122000 on August 13?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $51.51

Yes position

Ethereum above $4300 on August 11?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.95

Yes position

Bitcoin above $62,000 on October 11?

Ends Oct 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.58

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.68

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.45

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.36

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18

Yes position

26-50 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?

Ends Dec 12, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.55

Yes position

Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.78

Yes position

Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.5

Yes position

US bank failure by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.68

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 40% 223 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 8.2% 121.95 shares
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Up 1% 500 shares
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?

Yes 1.8% 560.01 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.5% 87.71 shares
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?

Yes 4% 333.33 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.8% 335 shares
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 41% 200 shares
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in June?

Yes 1.1% 599.99 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 3.7% 100.01 shares
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 5.1% 196.08 shares
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in June?

Yes 2.3% 427.83 shares