No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $1.39K
- Potential payout
- $1.49K
- Potential profit
- $107.51
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $5.67
Polymarket Trader
thevisionaryman
0xc9168c460a136f2ee89b3d2e65afcfc9c0cbe32e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.12K
- Realized PnL
- $7.57K
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Something position
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $69.02
- Potential payout
- $1.42K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- $17.79
No position
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $897.72
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $394.15
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $821.14
No position
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 78.9%
- Current value
- $369.53
- Potential payout
- $468.35
- Potential profit
- $98.82
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $176.5
No position
Felix Protocol FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $400.77
- Potential payout
- $455.42
- Potential profit
- $54.65
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $63.82
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12K
Yes position
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97K
Yes position
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94K
Yes position
MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $959.25
No position
Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $281.31
No position
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $135.66
No position
Will Hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $58.84
No position
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-07?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.32
Yes position
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 21.1%
- Multiplier
- 4.74x
- User PnL
- $17.22
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.37
Yes position
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.64
Yes position
Will SC Freiburg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.91
No position
Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.81
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.23
Yes position
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-07?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.3
Yes position
Felix Protocol FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 12%
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- $6.35
Yes position
US x China tariff agreement by November 10?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.23
RC Celta de Vigo position
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62
Celtics position
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-07?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Yes position
USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.22
Yes position
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$9.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 92% 478.25 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 92.4% 606.32 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 93% 408.6 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi NakamotoSomething 3.6% 1,423 shares
- USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes 99.7% 211.16 shares
- USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes 80.1% 641.34 shares
- USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes 99.8% 2,103.03 shares
- USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes 99.8% 2,667.59 shares
- USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes 98.4% 130.01 shares
- USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?Yes 0.3% 693.19 shares
- USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?Yes 0.2% 2,680.08 shares
- Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?No 87.6% 33.33 shares